← Grand Library League S3 Finals
Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at Grand Library League S3 Finals
decks
4
(4.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
29
14-12-3
overall winrate
53.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
53.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1286
· median 1290
· range 1173–1389
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1217
Q3 1450
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 12.2% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.2% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 55.1% | +3.8 |
| Water Fractal | 8.9% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.9% | +1.8 |
| Water Genbu | 8.9% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 47.7% | -1.7 |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.3% | +1.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 53.7% | +3.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.0% | -3.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Wind Byakko | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Polkhawk | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.5% | -2.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
